Josh Gordon was reinstated this week by the NFL and will now serve just a 4-game suspension.
For Fantasy Football purposes, this puts one of the more peculiar scenarios in recent memory into the draft equation.
Not only will arguably the top running back, LeVeon Bell and one of the top quarterbacks, Tom Brady, be facing suspensions, but the former league leader in receiving yards is thrown into the Frey Pie of unknown as well.
There are two questions surrounding Gordon. What will he produce? When should you draft him? Obviously the second question is a direct effect of your thoughts on the first answer.
Let’s get down to the business of Josh Gordon.
What To Do With Josh Gordon?
In 35 career games, Gordon has put up per-game averages of 4.6 catches, 78.7 yards and 0.4 touchdowns. Over a 12-game season, that equates to 55.2 catches, 944.4 yards and 4.8 touchdowns. That would put him around the 150-point mark in .5 PPR scoring.
Overall, that would land him at WR33 in total points and WR15 by per-game points. But can he perform at those levels again?
The quarterback situation would seem to hold him back. Robert Griffin III has not played meaningful football in almost two years. I am not a fan of his overall quarterback play. However, there is one thing that he does better than most: throw the deep ball.
According to Pro Football Focus, in RG3’s last season as a starter, he had the second highest percentage of deep balls (40-plus yards in the air) and the third highest grade on said throws. That bodes well for Gordon, whose big play ability led to his 1,646 yards in 2013 with 18.9 yards per reception. Let us not forget, these two played together for a season at Baylor.
New Browns’ head coach Hue Jackson has experience with big-play wide receivers, having helped A.J. Green the past couple of seasons reach elite status. He knows how to use an elite target and will force feed him the ball downfield.
While the fact he showed up to camp with a quad injury worries me, I think his production will be somewhere in between his average in 2014 (60.6 yards per game, 0 TD) and 2013 (117.6 yards and 9 TD).
Mark me down for 60 catches for 891 yards and 5 touchdowns.
So where should you take him?
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) July 25, 2016
Where To Draft Josh Gordon
According to Fantasy Football Calculator, Gordon’s Average Draft Position since the news came out is 100th overall and the 41st receiver off the board. Now this does include a low of the 150th player taken and a high of the 25th off the board as people still process the information.
I expect this to keep rising, as people begin salivating over his booming potential like a Black Friday Sale. I would feel comfortable taking him as my last starter (Flex or WR) in the 7th-8th round. You don’t want to have to depend on his production to carry you. You want him as a high-upside pick that could give you a boost later in the year.
I would definitely pair him with Corey Coleman, the rookie who is also from Baylor. They might as well call Art Briles to come be a special assistant, I heard he is available. Coleman’s ADP should plummet, giving you solid value and insurance should Gordon decide to swing by Johnny Football’s place. It would basically be a WR Platoon, like the RB Platoons you should be targeting in the middle rounds.
- Early Look Ahead to the 2019 Fantasy Football Season - December 31, 2018
- Week 14 DFS Strategy: Deciphering the New Starting Running Landscape - December 9, 2018
- Week 13 DFS Strategy : The Quest For 170 Points And A Win - December 1, 2018